Is het bijdrukken van zoveel euro’s wel verstandig ?

Europa is door het covid-19 virus in een diepe economische crisis beland en om de boel toch nog enigszins draaiende te houden besloot de ECB onlangs om 750 miljard euro bij te drukken. Daar deed de centrale bank nog eens 600 miljard bij, want het geld moet tenslotte toch ergens vandaan komen om de boel een beetje overeind te kunnen houden en bedrijven te kunnen voorzien van een nieuwe financiele impuls als deze crisis enigzins voorbij is.
Ik verwacht niet dat je in Europa snel zal krijgen dat je een hele bundel geld nodig zal hebben om een brood te kopen of een rugzak vol met geld om een nieuwe tv te kunnen aanschaffen. Dat soort dingen kennen we van landen als Suriname waar in de jaren 90 een grote crisis heerste door de binnenlandse oorlog en daardoor verloor het geld zijn waarde. Zo’n hyperinflatie zal in europa niet snel gebeuren, want daarvoor moet er een crisis heersen, gecombineerd met wanbestuur. Met alleen een crisis gaande kun je nog niet spreken van wanbestuur. Maar hoe lang kun je die geldpers laten doordraaien om bedrijven en overheden te kunnen blijven voorzien van krediet voordat je gaat merken dat het effect heeft op de waarde van jou munt? m.a.w. Hoe gevaarlijk is dat dat de Europese centrale bank nu geld blijf bijdrukken?


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